COCR Earnings Review 2Q FY26 - BRS Equity Research

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Earnings Reviews
15/12/2025
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๐Ÿ“ˆ Cyclone Headwinds, Strong Core Strength ๐Ÿ’ฐ Solid earnings base: COCR delivered a strong PATMI of LKR 2.1bn in 2Q FY26 (+79% YoY), providing a robust platform for forward earnings momentum. ๐Ÿ”ฎ NII momentum to remain supportive: Elevated NIMs (~19%) and selective growth should sustain core earnings despite a cautious near-term environment. ๐Ÿฆ Credit growth outlook remains resilient: Temporary cyclone-related disruptions are likely to normalize, supported by COCRโ€™s niche positioning. ๐Ÿ›ก Asset quality to remain resilient: Short-term impairment pressure is expected, but prior credit improvements and disciplined risk management should limit downside. โš™๏ธ Efficiency as a structural strength: Strong cost discipline is expected to sustain ROEs above 20% over the medium term, even under more conservative operating assumptions. ๐Ÿ“‰ Valuation & recommendation: Target Price revised to LKR 165.00 on cautious assumptions, still offering ~31% upside at CMP. BUY maintained. โš  Risks: Prolonged credit slowdown, weather-related asset quality stress, regulatory tightening, funding cost volatility.
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