COMB 4Q 2025 Earnings Review - BRS Equity Research
Earnings Reviews
24/03/2026
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📈 Built to Withstand, Positioned to Grow
💰 Strong 4Q performance: PATMI of LKR 12.9bn and EPS of LKR 7.82, with NII up 29% YoY (+8% QoQ) to LKR 37.5bn, supported by a solid NIM of 4.5% and loan growth (+10% QoQ).
📘 Cautious credit outlook: ~LKR 560bn disbursements (+37% YoY) in 2025, however loan CAGR revised to 12.4% (2025–2027E) amid external headwinds.
🛡 Asset quality improving: Stage 3 ratio at 1.5% with provision coverage at 73.5%, supporting strong buffers.
📉 Cost efficiency: Cost-to-income ratio expected to remain below 30%.
📈 Valuation & recommendation:
• COMB.N – BUY | TP: LKR 242 (+20%)
• COMB.X – HOLD | TP: LKR 210 (+11%)
⚠Risks: Prolonged US – Israel - Iran conflict, credit slowdown, monetary tightening, policy uncertainty
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