Rebuilding Sri Lanka: The 2026E Selective Equity Opportunity
Strategy Reports
31/12/2025
880
0
🎯 Strategy – Selective Overweight
We favor selective overweight exposure to reconstruction and consumptionlinked sectors. While near term upside is modest, medium term returns remain intact as earnings and valuations normalise.
🌪️ From Shock to Recovery
Cyclone Ditwah is expected to pressure earnings through 1H 2026E. A multilateral backed reconstruction phase should begin support activity from 2H 2026E, driving a sector led recovery through 2027E.
⚖️ Supportive Backdrop
Stable interest rates, tax-exempt capital gains, and sustainable liquidity continue to support equities.
📊 Earnings & Valuation
• Earnings: +10% in 2026E (LKR 765bn), +14% in 2027E (LKR 872bn)
• ASPI targets: 23,500 (2026E) | 27,000 (2027E)
🧭 BRS Recommended Portfolio
🏗️ Construction & Related: AEL, ACL, SIRA, CIND, TKYO
🛒 Consumption: HHL, CIC, DIST
🏦 Financials: COMB, HNB(X), COCR
🏭 HAYC | 🚕 PKME | 💰 LLUB
⚠️ Risks: Fiscal slippages | Funding gaps | Inflation | Monetary tightening
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