Rebuilding Sri Lanka: The 2026E Selective Equity Opportunity
Strategy Reports
31/12/2025
58
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π― Strategy β Selective Overweight
We favor selective overweight exposure to reconstruction and consumptionlinked sectors. While near term upside is modest, medium term returns remain intact as earnings and valuations normalise.
πͺοΈ From Shock to Recovery
Cyclone Ditwah is expected to pressure earnings through 1H 2026E. A multilateral backed reconstruction phase should begin support activity from 2H 2026E, driving a sector led recovery through 2027E.
βοΈ Supportive Backdrop
Stable interest rates, tax-exempt capital gains, and sustainable liquidity continue to support equities.
π Earnings & Valuation
β’ Earnings: +10% in 2026E (LKR 765bn), +14% in 2027E (LKR 872bn)
β’ ASPI targets: 23,500 (2026E) | 27,000 (2027E)
π§ BRS Recommended Portfolio
ποΈ Construction & Related: AEL, ACL, SIRA, CIND, TKYO
π Consumption: HHL, CIC, DIST
π¦ Financials: COMB, HNB(X), COCR
π HAYC | π PKME | π° LLUB
β οΈ Risks: Fiscal slippages | Funding gaps | Inflation | Monetary tightening
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