Sampath Bank PLC (SAMP) Initiation Report - BRS Equity Research
Initiation Reports
03/11/2026
153
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Strong Loan Momentum, Buffers Built: Earnings Growth Resumes in 2027E
π Strong 2Q Earnings
PATMI rose 65% YoY to LKR 11.0bn (EPS: LKR 9.41), supported by 18% YoY NII growth to LKR 24.6bn and 23% growth in net fees. Impairment charges fell 65% YoY after provisions were front-loaded in 1Q.
π³ Resilient Credit Demand
Gross loans grew 19% YTD to LKR 1.54tn. We expect 26.5% credit growth in 2026E, moderating to 12β13% in 2027β28E, with NIM widening towards ~4.4% as rate cuts ease funding costs from 2027E.
π‘οΈ Buffers Built Ahead of the Cycle
Gross Stage 3 ratio improved to 6.54%, well below the sectorβs 9.1%, with coverage at 65.6% and a CET1 ratio of 13.4%.
π Earnings Growth Resumes
We forecast PATMI of LKR 40.3bn in 2027E (+17%) and LKR 47.8bn in 2028E (+19%), a 14% CAGR over 2025β2028E.
π― Valuation & Recommendation:
SAMP.N TP (2027E): LKR 191.00 (+35.9%) | BUY
β οΈ Risks: (1) Prolonged Middle East conflict (2) Rising credit costs (3) Weaker loan growth (4) NIM compression
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