Storm, Shock & Recovery; Cyclone Ditwah’s Impact on Sri Lanka’s Economy & Stock Market
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Economic Reports
01/12/2025
210
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🌊 Short-Term Strain, Rebuild-Led Recovery
📉 Short-term disruptions: Retail activity, mobility, MSMEs, branch operations, logistics, and supply chains face temporary slowdowns across several districts.
🛑 GDP & inflation pressure: Industrial/agri disruptions may soften near-term GDP growth, while food & transport prices could rise due to supply constraints.
🏗️ Reconstruction boost: Infrastructure damage (roads, bridges, utilities) is likely to trigger medium-term rebuild-led demand, supporting construction, and utilities.
🏗️ Winners & losers:
• Near-term pressure: Insurance, Plantations, Hotels, Banks and NBFIs
• Medium-term beneficiaries: Construction & Allied Industries, Utilities, banks (via credit demand)
🔎 Investor takeaway: Event-driven pullbacks in the past have been followed by strong recoveries once conditions normalise, offering selective value opportunities.
🙏 Our thoughts are with all families and communities affected by the floods. We extend our heartfelt support and prayers for their safety, strength, and recovery.
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