ACL Earnings Review 2Q FY26 - BUY
Earnings Reviews
30/12/2025
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ACL Earnings Review 2Q FY26 / Bartleet Religare Securities β 30.12.2025
β Earnings Set to Surge on Volume Growth Fuel by Expanding Order Book
π° EPS of LKR 6.19 (pre-subdivision) for 2Q FY26, with PATMI reaching LKR 1.5bn (+38.8% YoY), driven by sales growth of 19.9% YoY and 15.0% QoQ.
π Local sales led the revenue growth : Local sales increased 24% YoY to LKR 9.1bn, while export sales grew 7% YoY to LKR 2.3bn. Growth was primarily volume-driven, with institutional demand from CEB contributing significantly to topline momentum.
π¦ Capacity well-positioned to capture demand growth: Utilization stood at 60% in 2Q FY26 and is expected to rise to 71β74% over FY27βFY28. ACL is well-positioned to capture post-Cyclone Ditwah reconstruction demand, supported by its dealer network, institutional projects, and rising government capital expenditure, enabling accelerated revenue growth in the near term.
πͺ Price adjustments expected amid cost pressures: Sustained high copper prices (USD 12,200+/MT) and a depreciating LKR point to near-term price revisions, supporting revenue growth while mitigating margin pressures.
π Valuation & recommendation : A blended DCF and PER approach yields a FY27E target price of LKR 154.00 (+84.4% upside). With a forward PER of 5.5x, the market has yet to fully reflect ACLβs growth potential.
Recommendation: BUY
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