Beyond Valuation Gap, Unlocking Growth in NBFI Sector - Sector Initiation Report - BRS Equity Research
Sector Reports
31/03/2025
126
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We believe the listed NBFI sector is poised for a rerating driven by:
π Robust Net Interest Margins (NIMs) β supported by stable lending yields and funding structure
π Vehicle import relaxations expected to reignite the leasing engine
πͺ Low penetration into the SME segment creates room for microfinance expansion
π° Surging gold prices offer a near-term tailwind for the pawning segment
π Improving asset quality, underpinned by macroeconomic tailwinds
π With an SME-led recovery, we anticipate rising credit demand across micro, leasing, and trade-related financing.
π Our BRS NBFI Investment Universe (LOFC, LFIN, PLC, CDB, VFIN, COCR, CFIN, ALLI) captures ~70% of industry loans and assets, providing a strong proxy for the sector.
πΈ The Diversified Financials sector trades at 0.9x PBV, well below the 10 year CSE average (1.1x) and regional average (1.8x), signaling deep value potential.
β
BUY: COCR, ALLI, CDB (N & X), VFIN, LFIN, CFIN
βΈ HOLD: LOFC, PLC - upside already priced in
β οΈ Key Risks: Delayed economic recovery, weak leasing demand, bank competition, gold/vehicle price volatility, and monetary tightening
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