Beyond Valuation Gap, Unlocking Growth in NBFI Sector - Sector Initiation Report - BRS Equity Research

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Sector Reports
31/03/2025
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We believe the listed NBFI sector is poised for a rerating driven by: πŸš€ Robust Net Interest Margins (NIMs) – supported by stable lending yields and funding structure πŸš— Vehicle import relaxations expected to reignite the leasing engine πŸͺ Low penetration into the SME segment creates room for microfinance expansion πŸ’° Surging gold prices offer a near-term tailwind for the pawning segment πŸ“ˆ Improving asset quality, underpinned by macroeconomic tailwinds πŸ” With an SME-led recovery, we anticipate rising credit demand across micro, leasing, and trade-related financing. πŸ“Š Our BRS NBFI Investment Universe (LOFC, LFIN, PLC, CDB, VFIN, COCR, CFIN, ALLI) captures ~70% of industry loans and assets, providing a strong proxy for the sector. πŸ’Έ The Diversified Financials sector trades at 0.9x PBV, well below the 10 year CSE average (1.1x) and regional average (1.8x), signaling deep value potential. βœ… BUY: COCR, ALLI, CDB (N & X), VFIN, LFIN, CFIN ⏸ HOLD: LOFC, PLC - upside already priced in ⚠️ Key Risks: Delayed economic recovery, weak leasing demand, bank competition, gold/vehicle price volatility, and monetary tightening
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