Beyond Valuation Gap, Unlocking Growth in NBFI Sector - Sector Initiation Report - BRS Equity Research

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Sector Reports
31/03/2025
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We believe the listed NBFI sector is poised for a rerating driven by: 🚀 Robust Net Interest Margins (NIMs) – supported by stable lending yields and funding structure 🚗 Vehicle import relaxations expected to reignite the leasing engine 🏪 Low penetration into the SME segment creates room for microfinance expansion 💰 Surging gold prices offer a near-term tailwind for the pawning segment 📈 Improving asset quality, underpinned by macroeconomic tailwinds 🔁 With an SME-led recovery, we anticipate rising credit demand across micro, leasing, and trade-related financing. 📊 Our BRS NBFI Investment Universe (LOFC, LFIN, PLC, CDB, VFIN, COCR, CFIN, ALLI) captures ~70% of industry loans and assets, providing a strong proxy for the sector. 💸 The Diversified Financials sector trades at 0.9x PBV, well below the 10 year CSE average (1.1x) and regional average (1.8x), signaling deep value potential. ✅ BUY: COCR, ALLI, CDB (N & X), VFIN, LFIN, CFIN ⏸ HOLD: LOFC, PLC - upside already priced in ⚠️ Key Risks: Delayed economic recovery, weak leasing demand, bank competition, gold/vehicle price volatility, and monetary tightening
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