Beyond Valuation Gap, Unlocking Growth in NBFI Sector - Sector Initiation Report - BRS Equity Research
Sector Reports
31/03/2025
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We believe the listed NBFI sector is poised for a rerating driven by:
🚀 Robust Net Interest Margins (NIMs) – supported by stable lending yields and funding structure
🚗 Vehicle import relaxations expected to reignite the leasing engine
🏪 Low penetration into the SME segment creates room for microfinance expansion
💰 Surging gold prices offer a near-term tailwind for the pawning segment
📈 Improving asset quality, underpinned by macroeconomic tailwinds
🔁 With an SME-led recovery, we anticipate rising credit demand across micro, leasing, and trade-related financing.
📊 Our BRS NBFI Investment Universe (LOFC, LFIN, PLC, CDB, VFIN, COCR, CFIN, ALLI) captures ~70% of industry loans and assets, providing a strong proxy for the sector.
💸 The Diversified Financials sector trades at 0.9x PBV, well below the 10 year CSE average (1.1x) and regional average (1.8x), signaling deep value potential.
✅ BUY: COCR, ALLI, CDB (N & X), VFIN, LFIN, CFIN
⏸ HOLD: LOFC, PLC - upside already priced in
⚠️ Key Risks: Delayed economic recovery, weak leasing demand, bank competition, gold/vehicle price volatility, and monetary tightening
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