COMB 3Q 2025 Earnings Review - BRS Equity Research
Earnings Reviews
26/11/2025
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π Growth Momentum and Quality Delivering Superior ROEs
π° Solid earnings delivery: PATMI of LKR 16.6bn in 3Q 2025 (+33% YoY) and EPS of LKR 10.18, driven by strong NII growth (+14% YoY) and robust loan book expansion.
π Credit growth upgraded: 2025E loan growth lifted to 31% (from 20%) on stronger local demand and COMBβs market share gains.
π Margins resilient: NIM stood at 4.5% in 3Q 2025, with margins expected to normalize around ~4.2% over the medium term.
π‘ Asset quality strengthening: Stage 3 ratio improved to 1.8%, while provision coverage increased to 71.4%, supporting balance sheet resilience.
π Valuation & recommendation: Target prices revised to LKR 260 (COMB.N β BUY) and LKR 217 (COMB.X β HOLD) for end-2026E, with ROEs forecast around ~18%.
β Risks: Credit slowdown, policy uncertainty, early monetary tightening, geopolitical tensions.
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