TJL Earnings Review 2Q FY26 - BRS Research

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Earnings Reviews
03/12/2025
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๐Ÿ“‰TJL Earnings Review 2Q FY26 โ€“ Tariff-Driven Demand Weakness Pushes TJL into Earnings Freefall โ€ข PAT down 80% YoY to LKR 149.9mn as revenue fell 10% YoY; volumes dropped 5โ€“6% with added pressure from ASPs & product mix. โ€ข ๐Ÿ“‰ Margins deteriorated (GP 8.0%, EBIT 1.9%) due to sustained pricing pressure and weak demand. โ€ข ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโš  U.S. reciprocal tariffs spike on India (to 50%) severely disrupted TJLโ€™s largest production base, worsening near-term performance. โ€ข ๐Ÿ”ป ASPs expected to decline further amid easing raw-material costs and competitive tariff-driven pricing. โ€ข ๐Ÿ”ฎ Demand weakness likely to persist mediumโ€“long term, with cost savings and LKR depreciation offering only limited relief. โ€ข โ— Rating downgraded to SELL with a TP of LKR 31.10, reflecting a prolonged subdued demand outlook unless U.S. tariffs ease.
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