From Conflict to Confidence - BRS Mid Year Equity Strategy July 2026

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Strategy Reports
06/07/2026
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🎯 Strategy – Selective Overweight We maintain a Selective Overweight stance. While 2H2026E remains challenging amid higher interest rates and cost pressures, we expect a stronger 2027E as inflation eases and monetary policy turns supportive. 🌍 Geopolitics & Inflation Easing US–Iran tensions, lower oil prices and improving supply chains are expected to reduce imported inflation, paving the way for policy easing from 1H2027E. πŸ“Š Earnings & Valuation β€’ 2026E earnings: +4% (LKR 733bn) β€’ 2027E earnings: +13% (LKR 833bn) β€’ 2026E ASPI target: 25,250 (13.8% upside), based on forward 2027E earnings 🧭 Top Picks 🏦 Financials: COMB (N&X), HNB (N&X), COCR, HASU πŸ›’ Consumer: HHL, SUN, CIC, CIC(X), DIST πŸ—οΈ Infrastructure: AEL, ACL, TKYO, TKYO(X) 🏭 HAYC, DIPD | ⚑ VLL (N&X) | πŸš• PKME | πŸ’° LLUB ⚠️ Key Risks: Geopolitical re-escalation | Persistent inflation | Higher-for-longer rates | Delayed earnings recovery
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