From Conflict to Confidence - BRS Mid Year Equity Strategy July 2026
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Strategy Reports
06/07/2026
809
2
🎯 Strategy – Selective Overweight
We maintain a Selective Overweight stance. While 2H2026E remains challenging amid higher interest rates and cost pressures, we expect a stronger 2027E as inflation eases and monetary policy turns supportive.
🌍 Geopolitics & Inflation
Easing US–Iran tensions, lower oil prices and improving supply chains are expected to reduce imported inflation, paving the way for policy easing from 1H2027E.
📊 Earnings & Valuation
• 2026E earnings: +4% (LKR 733bn)
• 2027E earnings: +13% (LKR 833bn)
• 2026E ASPI target: 25,250 (13.8% upside), based on forward 2027E earnings
🧭 Top Picks
🏦 Financials: COMB (N&X), HNB (N&X), COCR, HASU
🛒 Consumer: HHL, SUN, CIC, CIC(X), DIST
🏗️ Infrastructure: AEL, ACL, TKYO, TKYO(X)
🏭 HAYC, DIPD | ⚡ VLL (N&X) | 🚕 PKME | 💰 LLUB
⚠️ Key Risks: Geopolitical re-escalation | Persistent inflation | Higher-for-longer rates | Delayed earnings recovery
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